Instruction in the design, execution, and analyzation of randomized experiments for businesses, nonprofits, political organizations, and social scientists. Students learn to evaluate the impact of real-world interventions on well-defined political, economic, and social outcomes. Specific focus on randomized experimentation through field and survey experiments, with design and analysis principles extending to lab and so-called "natural" experiments. Any introductory probability or statistics course.
MW 1pm-2:15pm


What do the letters “INEC” stand for

Public’s Views on Human Evolution | Pew Research Center

Political campaigns use numbers to drive actions on their teams. They push people to go to particular geographies, they use numbers to galvanize supporters. And this is important, which is why campaigns invest in pollsters and polling processes.

Latest Entries - Taegan Goddard's Political Dictionary

But there is number burnout and exhaustion. As people feel pushed and swayed, as the horse race goes on and on, they get more and more disenchanted. Rather than galvanizing people to act, reporting on political polling over a long period of time with flashy visuals and constantly shifting needles prompts people to disengage from the process. In short, when it comes to the election, this prompts people to not show up to vote. Or to be so disgusted that voting practices become emotionally negative actions rather than productively informed ones.

Group processes for forecasting - ScienceDirect


Introduction to principles of research design in political science. The process of scientific research. Modes of hypothesis testing: Large-n statistical research designs, comparative research designs, case studies, formal models, experiments, and mixed methods.
T 1:30pm-3:20pm

33 | Prof. Dr. Popper's Foresight & Innovation Futures Blog

Polling and survey research has a beautiful history, one that most people who obsess over the numbers don’t know. In , Sarah Igo documents three survey projects that unfolded in the mid-20th century that set the stage for contemporary polling: the Middletown studies, Gallup, and Kinsey. As a researcher, it’s mindblowing to see just how naive folks were about statistics and data collection in the early development of this field, how much the field has learned and developed. But there’s another striking message in this book: They were willing to reveal their thoughts, beliefs, and ideas because they saw doing so as productive for them individually and collectively.

03/12/2015 · Are all scientists atheists

Yesterday, I wrote about One of its major flaws is how it’s covering data and engaging in polling coverage. This is, in many ways, the easiest part of the process to fix. So I call on the news media to put a moratorium on political polling coverage, to radically reduce the frequency with which they reference polls during an election season, and to be super critical of the data that they receive. If they want to be a check to power, they need to have the structures in place to be a check to math.

Databases A-Z | Penn State University Libraries

It’s now time for the media to put a moratorium on reporting on election polls and fancy visualizations of statistical data. And for data scientists and pollsters to stop feeding the media hype cycle with statistics that they know have flaws or will be misinterpreted as fact.